Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Tokyo, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 September 2026, Wednesday


	Luciano Darderi		Casper Ruud

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.75	1.44
	2.7	1.42	Watch
	2.75	1.43	Watch
	2.85	1.44
	2.78	1.46	Watch
	2.7	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↓ (3.56)	1.43 ↑ (1.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luciano Darderi
34.2%

Casper Ruud
65.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.3%

73.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luciano Darderi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Luciano Darderi's performance.

Casper Ruud has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Casper Ruud might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Luciano Darderi - Casper Ruud Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Darderi will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Ruud will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +4.5 Games - Darderi (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Darderi (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Darderi is ranked ATP: 19., and Ruud is ranked ATP: 21..

Both players have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Ruud may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Bookmakers give the edge to Ruud for this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Darderi has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Casper Ruud - the odds 1.27 are the expected chance of winning is 73.71%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luciano Darderi
ATP US Open
07.09.26	Alexander Zverev - Luciano Darderi	3:0 ✺
05.09.26	Luciano Darderi - Dane Sweeny	3:0 ✺
03.09.26	Luciano Darderi - Dalibor Svrcina	3:1 ✺
31.08.26	Luciano Darderi - Harry Wendelken	3:1 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
26.08.26	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Luciano Darderi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWWWL
- Casper Ruud
ATP Laver Cup
25.09.26	Casper Ruud - Francisco Cerundolo	2:1 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
19.09.26	Casper Ruud - Jie Cui	Canceled ✺
18.09.26	Casper Ruud - Rigele Te	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
01.09.26	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Casper Ruud	Canceled ✺
ATP Cincinnati
16.08.26	Christopher OConnell - Casper Ruud	Ruud C. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 W?W??

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roma
15.05.26	Casper Ruud - Luciano Darderi	2:0

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