Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Hangzhou, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 24 September 2026, Thursday


	Bu Yunchaokete		Michael Zheng

	1	2
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.20	1.65
	2.15	1.65	Watch
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.17	1.72
	2.11	1.72	Watch
	2.05	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.44)	1.7 ↑ (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bu Yunchaokete
44.4%

Michael Zheng
55.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

61.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

58.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bu Yunchaokete has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bu Yunchaokete's performance.

Michael Zheng has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Michael Zheng might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bu Yunchaokete than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michael Zheng than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	0%	55.6%

Bu Yunchaokete - Michael Zheng Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Yunchaokete will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Zheng will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zheng: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Zheng (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Yunchaokete is ranked ATP: 111., and Zheng is ranked ATP: 92..

Each of the two players is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Zheng may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Zheng is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Yunchaokete has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 3:3 (averaging 1.5:1.5 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Bu Yunchaokete - the odds 2.44 are the expected chance of winning is 38.38%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bu Yunchaokete
ATP US Open
03.09.26	Bu Yunchaokete - Michael Zheng	1:3 ✺
02.09.26	Rafael Jodar - Bu Yunchaokete	0:3 ✺
28.08.26	Bu Yunchaokete - Federico Cina	1:2 ✺
26.08.26	Bu Yunchaokete - Borna Gojo	2:0 ✺
25.08.26	Bu Yunchaokete - Rio Noguchi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 LWLWW
- Michael Zheng
ATP Challenger
19.09.26	Michael Zheng - Darwin Blanch	0:2 ✺
18.09.26	Michael Zheng - Mitchell Krueger	2:0 ✺
17.09.26	Michael Zheng - Trevor Svajda	2:0 ✺
15.09.26	Michael Zheng - Evan Zhu	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
05.09.26	Michael Zheng - Arthur Gea	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP US Open
03.09.26	Bu Yunchaokete - Michael Zheng	1:3
ATP Challenger
23.07.24	Bu Yunchaokete - Michael Zheng	2:0

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