Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kigali 2 (Rwanda), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 5 March 2025, Wednesday


	Corentin Denolly		Calvin Hemery

	1	2
	4.5	1.18	Watch
	3.9	1.21	Watch
	4.1	1.18	Watch
	4.13	1.22	Watch
			Watch
	4.02	1.22	Watch
	4.1	1.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.13 ↑ (3.01)	1.2 ↓ (1.35)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Corentin Denolly
22.5%

Calvin Hemery
77.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.9%

69.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

69.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Corentin Denolly has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Corentin Denolly's form might have worsened.

Calvin Hemery has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Calvin Hemery's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corentin Denolly than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Corentin Denolly, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Calvin Hemery than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Calvin Hemery, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Corentin Denolly - Calvin Hemery Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Denolly is ranked ATP: 330. Hemery is ranked ATP: 175.

Denolly is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hemery is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Hemery could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Hemery is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Hemery to win the game is with odds 1.33.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Denolly won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2:6 (average 0.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Corentin Denolly
ATP Challenger
04.03.25	Eliakim Coulibaly - Corentin Denolly	0:2 ✺
24.02.25	Corentin Denolly - Carlos Sanchez Jover	0:2 ✺
11.02.25	Vit Kopriva - Corentin Denolly	2:0 ✺
04.02.25	Aslan Karatsev - Corentin Denolly	2:0 ✺
21.01.25	Vitaliy Sachko - Corentin Denolly	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLLLL
- Calvin Hemery
ATP Challenger
04.03.25	Yanki Erel - Calvin Hemery	0:2 ✺
25.02.25	Calvin Hemery - Maximilian Neuchrist	Hemery C. retired ✺
24.02.25	Calvin Hemery - Mateus Alves	Canceled ✺
23.02.25	Calvin Hemery - Geoffrey Blancaneaux	0:2 ✺
22.02.25	Calvin Hemery - Maximus Jones	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 W??LW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
20.06.24	Calvin Hemery - Corentin Denolly	2:1
18.04.24	Corentin Denolly - Calvin Hemery	0:2
06.03.24	Corentin Denolly - Calvin Hemery	Denolly C. retired
ITF Tournaments
29.01.20	Corentin Denolly - Calvin Hemery	1:2

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