Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Savannah (USA), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 25 April 2024, Thursday

Referee: Ducci J. (Chi)


	Joel Schwaerzler		Calvin Hemery

	1	2
			Watch
	1.75	1.95	Watch
	1.82	1.9
	1.8	2.04
	1.8	2.05
	1.68	2.13	Watch
	1.78	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (2.13)	2 ↑ (1.65)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joel Schwaerzler
53%

Calvin Hemery
47%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

56.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

57.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joel Schwaerzler has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Joel Schwaerzler's performance.

Calvin Hemery has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Calvin Hemery might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joel Schwaerzler than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Joel Schwaerzler that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calvin Hemery than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Calvin Hemery could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.2%	0%	11.8%

Joel Schwaerzler - Calvin Hemery Predictions

Users Predictions: Joel Schwaerzler will win (30 of 33 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.1% – 100%.

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Preview

Recent matches Schwaerzler is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Hemery is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Schwaerzler could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joel Schwaerzler
ATP Challenger
23.04.24	Jeffrey John Wolf - Joel Schwaerzler	0:2 ✺
19.04.24	Joel Schwaerzler - Mitchell Krueger	0:2 ✺
17.04.24	Henry Searle - Joel Schwaerzler	0:2 ✺
15.04.24	Giovanni Fonio - Joel Schwaerzler	0:2 ✺
09.04.24	Joel Schwaerzler - Tristan Boyer	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WLWWL
- Calvin Hemery
ATP Challenger
23.04.24	Calvin Hemery - Henry Searle	2:0 ✺
20.04.24	Calvin Hemery - Zizou Bergs	Hemery C. retired ✺
19.04.24	Alexander Ritschard - Calvin Hemery	1:2 ✺
18.04.24	Corentin Denolly - Calvin Hemery	0:2 ✺
15.04.24	Calvin Hemery - Patrick Kypson	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 W?WWW

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