Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kigali 2 (Rwanda), clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 7 March 2025, Friday


	Guy Den Ouden		Calvin Hemery

	1	2
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.95	1.75	Watch
	1.92	1.78	Watch
	2.12	1.76
	1.95	1.82	Watch
			Watch
	1.99	1.75	Watch
	1.92	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.17)	1.78 ↑ (1.6)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guy Den Ouden
47.5%

Calvin Hemery
52.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

57.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

55.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guy Den Ouden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guy Den Ouden's performance.

Calvin Hemery has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Calvin Hemery might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guy Den Ouden than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calvin Hemery than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	0%	63.6%

Guy Den Ouden - Calvin Hemery Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Den Ouden will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Hemery will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hemery: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Den Ouden is ranked ATP: 317. Hemery is ranked ATP: 175.

Instantly two players are in a excellent shape.

Hemery could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Hemery will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's Hemery to win the game is with odds 1.59.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Calvin Hemery - the odds 1.6 are the expected chance of winning is 57.6%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guy Den Ouden
ATP Challenger
05.03.25	Nicholas David Ionel - Guy Den Ouden	0:2 ✺
03.03.25	Guy Den Ouden - Filip Misolic	2:0 ✺
26.02.25	Guy Den Ouden - Valentin Royer	1:2 ✺
25.02.25	Clement Tabur - Guy Den Ouden	0:2 ✺
24.02.25	Guy Den Ouden - Jasza Szajrych	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWLWW
- Calvin Hemery
ATP Challenger
05.03.25	Corentin Denolly - Calvin Hemery	0:2 ✺
04.03.25	Yanki Erel - Calvin Hemery	0:2 ✺
25.02.25	Calvin Hemery - Maximilian Neuchrist	Hemery C. retired ✺
24.02.25	Calvin Hemery - Mateus Alves	Canceled ✺
23.02.25	Calvin Hemery - Geoffrey Blancaneaux	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WW??L

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