Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 April 2025, Tuesday


	Cameron Norrie		Gabriel Diallo

	1	2
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.83	1.95	Watch
	1.81	2	Watch
	1.86	2.04
	1.8	1.99	Watch
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.83	1.98	Watch
	1.81	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.59)	2 ↓ (2.26)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cameron Norrie
52.3%

Gabriel Diallo
47.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.9%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cameron Norrie has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cameron Norrie's form might have worsened.

Gabriel Diallo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gabriel Diallo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cameron Norrie than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cameron Norrie, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gabriel Diallo than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gabriel Diallo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60.6%	0%	39.4%

Cameron Norrie - Gabriel Diallo Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Norrie will win (votes: 20 - 60.6%). Diallo will win (votes: 13 - 39.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Norrie: 43.9% – 77.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Norrie (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Diallo (votes: 5 - 35.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 Games - Norrie (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Norrie (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Diallo (votes: 5 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Norrie is ranked ATP: 91. Diallo is ranked ATP: 78.

Instantly two players are in a excellent shape.

Diallo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Norrie will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Gabriel Diallo - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 41.28%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cameron Norrie
ATP Madrid
26.04.25	Jiri Lehecka - Cameron Norrie	1:2 ✺
24.04.25	Martin Landaluce - Cameron Norrie	1:2 ✺
ATP Barcelona
15.04.25	Karen Khachanov - Cameron Norrie	2:1 ✺
13.04.25	Damir Dzumhur - Cameron Norrie	0:2 ✺
12.04.25	Cameron Norrie - Hugo Gaston	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWLWW
- Gabriel Diallo
ATP Madrid
26.04.25	Gabriel Diallo - Kamil Majchrzak	2:1 ✺
25.04.25	Gabriel Diallo - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	Canceled
24.04.25	Zizou Bergs - Gabriel Diallo	0:2 ✺
22.04.25	Gabriel Diallo - Borna Coric	0:2 ✺
21.04.25	Gabriel Diallo - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 W?WLW

Cameron Norrie - Gabriel Diallo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide