Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 26 April 2025, Saturday


	Gabriel Diallo		Kamil Majchrzak

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	1.95	1.83	Watch
	1.98	1.83
	2	1.9
	1.99	1.8	Watch
	2	1.8	Watch
	1.95	1.85	Watch
	1.98	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.27)	1.83 ↑ (1.64)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gabriel Diallo
48%

Kamil Majchrzak
52%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

58.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6%

60.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gabriel Diallo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gabriel Diallo's performance.

Kamil Majchrzak has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kamil Majchrzak might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gabriel Diallo than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gabriel Diallo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kamil Majchrzak than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kamil Majchrzak could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Gabriel Diallo - Kamil Majchrzak Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Diallo will win (votes: 7 - 33.3%). Majchrzak will win (votes: 14 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Majchrzak: 46.5% – 86.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Kamil Majchrzak will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Diallo is ranked ATP: 78. Majchrzak is ranked ATP: 90.

Recent matches Diallo is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Majchrzak is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Majchrzak could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Gabriel Diallo - the odds 2.27 are the expected chance of winning is 41.94%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Kamil Majchrzak - the odds 1.64 are the expected chance of winning is 58.06%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gabriel Diallo
ATP Madrid
25.04.25	Gabriel Diallo - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	Canceled
24.04.25	Zizou Bergs - Gabriel Diallo	0:2 ✺
22.04.25	Gabriel Diallo - Borna Coric	0:2 ✺
21.04.25	Gabriel Diallo - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran	2:0 ✺
ATP Barcelona
13.04.25	Hamad Medjedovic - Gabriel Diallo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 ?WLWL
- Kamil Majchrzak
ATP Madrid
22.04.25	Kamil Majchrzak - Elmer Moller	1:2 ✺
21.04.25	Kamil Majchrzak - Darwin Blanch	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.04.25	Marin Cilic - Kamil Majchrzak	1:2 ✺
12.04.25	Norbert Gombos - Kamil Majchrzak	1:2 ✺
12.04.25	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Kamil Majchrzak	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWWWW

Gabriel Diallo - Kamil Majchrzak: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide