Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Montreal (Canada), hard

Date: 7 August 2024, Wednesday


	Cameron Norrie		Marcos Giron

	1	2
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.67	2.15
	1.68	2.2
	1.74	2.2
	1.63	2.27
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.69	2.21	Watch
	1.68	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.85)	2.2 ↑ (1.95)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cameron Norrie
56.8%

Marcos Giron
43.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.3%

48.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.9%

50.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cameron Norrie has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cameron Norrie's performance.

Marcos Giron has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marcos Giron might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cameron Norrie than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cameron Norrie that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marcos Giron than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marcos Giron could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Cameron Norrie - Marcos Giron Predictions

Users Predictions: Cameron Norrie will win (14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.23% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Norrie is ranked ATP: 46. Giron is ranked ATP: 38.

Recent matches Norrie is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Giron is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Norrie won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cameron Norrie
ATP Olympic Games
28.07.24	Tallon Griekspoor - Cameron Norrie	Canceled ✺
ATP Bastad
18.07.24	Cameron Norrie - Rafael Nadal	0:2 ✺
15.07.24	Cameron Norrie - Jozef Kovalik	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
06.07.24	Cameron Norrie - Alexander Zverev	0:3 ✺
04.07.24	Jack Draper - Cameron Norrie	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 ?LWLW
- Marcos Giron
ATP Olympic Games
28.07.24	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Marcos Giron	2:0 ✺
ATP Newport
21.07.24	Alex Michelsen - Marcos Giron	1:2 ✺
20.07.24	Christopher Eubanks - Marcos Giron	1:2 ✺
19.07.24	Alex Bolt - Marcos Giron	0:2 ✺
18.07.24	Benoit Paire - Marcos Giron	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Auckland
11.01.23	Marcos Giron - Cameron Norrie	1:2
ATP Vienna
27.10.22	Marcos Giron - Cameron Norrie	2:0
ATP Washington
03.08.21	Marcos Giron - Cameron Norrie	0:2

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