Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Metz (France), hard (indoor) - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 November 2024, Monday


	Cameron Norrie		Roberto Carballes Baena

	1	2
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.65	2.2
	1.6	2.29	Watch
	1.67	2.31
	1.64	2.31	Watch
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.63	2.29	Watch
	1.6	2.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.68)	2.29 ↑ (2.2)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cameron Norrie
58.4%

Roberto Carballes Baena
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.7%

43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.3%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cameron Norrie has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Roberto Carballes Baena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cameron Norrie than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roberto Carballes Baena than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.8%	0%	63.2%

Cameron Norrie - Roberto Carballes Baena Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Norrie will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%). Carballes Baena will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Carballes Baena: 42% – 87.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Norrie is ranked ATP: 56. Carballes Baena is ranked ATP: 54.

Norrie is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Carballes Baena is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Carballes Baena could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Norrie will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Norrie won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cameron Norrie
ATP Paris
26.10.24	Cameron Norrie - Quentin Halys	0:2 ✺
ATP Vienna
22.10.24	Francis Tiafoe - Cameron Norrie	2:0 ✺
ATP Stockholm
15.10.24	Cameron Norrie - Miomir Kecmanovic	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.10.24	Cameron Norrie - Luca Van Assche	1:2 ✺
09.10.24	Cameron Norrie - Stefano Travaglia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLW
- Roberto Carballes Baena
ATP Paris
28.10.24	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:1 ✺
27.10.24	Lorenzo Sonego - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:0 ✺
26.10.24	Alexandre Muller - Roberto Carballes Baena	0:2 ✺
ATP Basel
21.10.24	Roberto Carballes Baena - Matteo Arnaldi	Canceled ✺
ATP Antwerp
16.10.24	Alex De Minaur - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLW?L

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roma
11.05.21	Roberto Carballes Baena - Cameron Norrie	0:2
ATP Estoril
03.05.18	Roberto Carballes Baena - Cameron Norrie	2:1

Cameron Norrie - Roberto Carballes Baena: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide