Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 25 August 2025, Monday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Cameron Norrie		Sebastian Korda

	1	2
	2.63	1.5	Watch
	2.54	1.5
	2.55	1.49	Watch
	2.59	1.55
	2.62	1.48	Watch
	2.6	1.5
	2.6	1.56	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (2.38)	1.51 ↓ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cameron Norrie
36.9%

Sebastian Korda
63.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

60.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cameron Norrie has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Sebastian Korda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	0%	57.1%

Cameron Norrie - Sebastian Korda Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Norrie will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Korda will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Korda: 35% – 88%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Norrie (votes: 3 - 50%). Korda (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Norrie is ranked ATP: 39. Korda is ranked ATP: 86.

Norrie has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Norrie may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Korda is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Korda will win today's game, with odds of 1.49.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Norrie won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:8. (average 0.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cameron Norrie
ATP Cincinnati
10.08.25	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Cameron Norrie	2:0 ✺
ATP Toronto
30.07.25	Aleksandar Vukic - Cameron Norrie	2:1 ✺
ATP Washington
24.07.25	Brandon Nakashima - Cameron Norrie	2:0 ✺
22.07.25	Cameron Norrie - Lorenzo Musetti	2:1 ✺
21.07.25	Cameron Norrie - Billy Harris	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLLWW
- Sebastian Korda
ATP Winston-Salem
22.08.25	Sebastian Korda - Marton Fucsovics	Fucsovics M. walkover ✺
21.08.25	Sebastian Korda - Miomir Kecmanovic	2:0 ✺
20.08.25	Kamil Majchrzak - Sebastian Korda	1:2 ✺
18.08.25	Vit Kopriva - Sebastian Korda	0:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
30.05.25	Francis Tiafoe - Sebastian Korda	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 ?WWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP London
23.06.23	Sebastian Korda - Cameron Norrie	2:0
ATP Delray Beach
18.02.22	Cameron Norrie - Sebastian Korda	2:1
ATP Australian Open
16.01.22	Cameron Norrie - Sebastian Korda	0:3
ATP Delray Beach
12.01.21	Cameron Norrie - Sebastian Korda	0:2

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