Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: French Open, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 May 2025, Friday

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max
Croatia	Max
Czech-republic	Max
Denmark	Max
Finland	Max
France	France TV Rolan Garros, Max
Hungary	Max
Norway	MAX
Poland	Max
Romania	Max
Serbia	Max
Slovenia	Max
Sweden	Max
Usa	Max


	Francis Tiafoe		Sebastian Korda

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	1.98	1.8
	1.95	1.8	Watch
	2.02	1.88
	1.99	1.82	Watch
	2	1.8
	1.89	1.94	Watch
	1.95	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (1.99)	1.83 ↑ (1.8)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francis Tiafoe
48.1%

Sebastian Korda
51.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.5%

52.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

52.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francis Tiafoe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Sebastian Korda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francis Tiafoe than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Korda than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.8%	0%	63.2%

Francis Tiafoe - Sebastian Korda Predictions

Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. Tiafoe will win (votes: 14 - 37.8%). Korda will win (votes: 23 - 62.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Korda: 46.6% – 77.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sebastian Korda will win (14 of 18 users predict this - 77.78%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:3

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Preview

Tiafoe is ranked ATP: 16. Korda is ranked ATP: 23.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tiafoe won 2.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Korda may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Tiafoe won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.2:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francis Tiafoe
ATP Roland Garros
28.05.25	Francis Tiafoe - Pablo Carreno-Busta	3:0 ✺
25.05.25	Francis Tiafoe - Roman Safiullin	3:0 ✺
ATP Hamburg
21.05.25	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Francis Tiafoe	2:0 ✺
20.05.25	Bu Yunchaokete - Francis Tiafoe	0:2 ✺
ATP Roma
10.05.25	Sebastian Ofner - Francis Tiafoe	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWLWL
- Sebastian Korda
ATP Roland Garros
28.05.25	Jenson Brooksby - Sebastian Korda	0:3 ✺
26.05.25	Luciano Darderi - Sebastian Korda	1:3 ✺
ATP Roma
12.05.25	Jaume Munar - Sebastian Korda	2:0 ✺
10.05.25	Aleksandar Vukic - Sebastian Korda	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
27.04.25	Sebastian Korda - Casper Ruud	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Washington
03.08.24	Francis Tiafoe - Sebastian Korda	0:2
ATP London
21.06.23	Francis Tiafoe - Sebastian Korda	0:2
ATP Cincinnati
17.08.22	Francis Tiafoe - Sebastian Korda	1:2
ATP Estoril
30.04.22	Sebastian Korda - Francis Tiafoe	1:2
ATP Indian Wells
09.10.21	Sebastian Korda - Francis Tiafoe	0:2
ATP New York
12.02.18	Francis Tiafoe - Sebastian Korda	2:1

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