Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: French Open, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 May 2025, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Bulgaria	20:05	Max
Croatia	19:05	Max
Czech Republic	19:05	Max
Denmark	19:05	Max
Finland	20:05	Max
France	19:05	France TV Rolan Garros, Max
Hungary	19:05	Max
Norway	19:05	MAX
Poland	19:05	Max
Romania	20:05	Max
Serbia	19:05	Max
Slovenia	19:05	Max
Sweden	19:05	Max
Usa	13:05	Max


	Francis Tiafoe		Sebastian Korda

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	1.98	1.8
	1.95	1.8	Watch
	2.02	1.88
	1.99	1.82	Watch
	2	1.8
	1.89	1.94	Watch
	1.95	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (1.99)	1.83 ↑ (1.8)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francis Tiafoe
48.1%

Sebastian Korda
51.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.5%

52.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

52.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francis Tiafoe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Sebastian Korda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francis Tiafoe than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Korda than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.8%	0%	63.2%

Francis Tiafoe - Sebastian Korda Predictions

Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. Tiafoe will win (votes: 14 - 37.8%). Korda will win (votes: 23 - 62.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Korda: 46.6% – 77.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sebastian Korda will win (14 of 18 users predict this - 77.78%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:3

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Preview

Tiafoe is ranked ATP: 16. Korda is ranked ATP: 23.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tiafoe won 2.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Korda may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Tiafoe won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.2:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francis Tiafoe
ATP Roland Garros
28.05.25	Francis Tiafoe - Pablo Carreno-Busta	3:0 ✺
25.05.25	Francis Tiafoe - Roman Safiullin	3:0 ✺
ATP Hamburg
21.05.25	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Francis Tiafoe	2:0 ✺
20.05.25	Bu Yunchaokete - Francis Tiafoe	0:2 ✺
ATP Roma
10.05.25	Sebastian Ofner - Francis Tiafoe	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWLWL
- Sebastian Korda
ATP Roland Garros
28.05.25	Jenson Brooksby - Sebastian Korda	0:3 ✺
26.05.25	Luciano Darderi - Sebastian Korda	1:3 ✺
ATP Roma
12.05.25	Jaume Munar - Sebastian Korda	2:0 ✺
10.05.25	Aleksandar Vukic - Sebastian Korda	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
27.04.25	Sebastian Korda - Casper Ruud	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Washington
03.08.24	Francis Tiafoe - Sebastian Korda	0:2
ATP London
21.06.23	Francis Tiafoe - Sebastian Korda	0:2
ATP Cincinnati
17.08.22	Francis Tiafoe - Sebastian Korda	1:2
ATP Estoril
30.04.22	Sebastian Korda - Francis Tiafoe	1:2
ATP Indian Wells
09.10.21	Sebastian Korda - Francis Tiafoe	0:2
ATP New York
12.02.18	Francis Tiafoe - Sebastian Korda	2:1

Francis Tiafoe - Sebastian Korda