Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Washington, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 22 July 2025, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Finland	MTV Urheilu 1
France	Eurosport 2
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top Event
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4, Ziggo Sport 5, Ziggo Sport
Poland	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1, Polsat Sport Premium 2
Portugal	Sport TV3
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 3
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Tennis
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis


	Cameron Norrie		Lorenzo Musetti

	1	2
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.1	1.72
	2.16	1.67	Watch
	2.17	1.76
	2.27	1.62	Watch
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.13	1.72	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.18)	1.7 ↑ (1.69)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cameron Norrie
44%

Lorenzo Musetti
56%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

56.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

53.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cameron Norrie has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Lorenzo Musetti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cameron Norrie than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Musetti than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
56.2%	0%	43.7%

Cameron Norrie - Lorenzo Musetti Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Norrie will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%). Musetti will win (votes: 7 - 43.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Norrie: 32% – 80.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 Games - Musetti (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Cameron Norrie will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Norrie (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Musetti (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Norrie is ranked ATP: 41. Musetti is ranked ATP: 7.

Norrie is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Musetti has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Musetti may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Norrie won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cameron Norrie
ATP Washington
21.07.25	Cameron Norrie - Billy Harris	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
08.07.25	Cameron Norrie - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:3 ✺
06.07.25	Nicolas Jarry - Cameron Norrie	2:3 ✺
04.07.25	Mattia Bellucci - Cameron Norrie	0:3 ✺
02.07.25	Cameron Norrie - Francis Tiafoe	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLWWW
- Lorenzo Musetti
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.25	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Lorenzo Musetti	3:1 ✺
Exhibition Hurlingham Men
27.06.25	Lorenzo Musetti - Stefanos Tsitsipas	Canceled ✺
ATP Roland Garros
06.06.25	Lorenzo Musetti - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	Musetti L. retired ✺
03.06.25	Lorenzo Musetti - Francis Tiafoe	3:1 ✺
01.06.25	Lorenzo Musetti - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 L??WW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roland Garros
02.06.23	Lorenzo Musetti - Cameron Norrie	3:0
ATP Barcelona
20.04.23	Cameron Norrie - Lorenzo Musetti	1:2

Cameron Norrie - Lorenzo Musetti: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide