Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: French Open (France) - Qualification, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 21 May 2024, Tuesday

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris)

Referee: Noble S. (Gbr)


	Camilo Ugo Carabelli		Bernabe Zapata Miralles

	1	2
	1.67	2.1
	1.65	2.15
	1.65	2.15	Watch
	1.69	2.2
	1.7	2.2
	1.67	2.1
	1.63	2.24	Watch
	1.7	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.73)	2.16 ↑ (2.01)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
56.4%

Bernabe Zapata Miralles
43.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

47%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Camilo Ugo Carabelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Bernabe Zapata Miralles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Camilo Ugo Carabelli than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bernabe Zapata Miralles than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.7%	0%	13.3%

Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Bernabe Zapata Miralles Predictions

Users Predictions: Camilo Ugo Carabelli will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ugo Carabelli is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Zapata Miralles is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ugo Carabelli could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Ugo Carabelli won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Camilo Ugo Carabelli
ATP Challenger
16.05.24	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Luciano Darderi	0:2 ✺
ATP Roma
06.05.24	Hamad Medjedovic - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.05.24	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Luciano Darderi	0:2 ✺
01.05.24	Taro Daniel - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
23.04.24	Brandon Nakashima - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLLWL
- Bernabe Zapata Miralles
ATP Challenger
15.05.24	Stanislas Wawrinka - Bernabe Zapata Miralles	2:0 ✺
14.05.24	Bernabe Zapata Miralles - Manuel Guinard	2:0 ✺
13.05.24	Bernabe Zapata Miralles - Charles Pilet	2:0 ✺
ATP Roma
06.05.24	Jeffrey John Wolf - Bernabe Zapata Miralles	2:1 ✺
ATP Madrid
22.04.24	Bernabe Zapata Miralles - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Madrid
22.04.24	Bernabe Zapata Miralles - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	0:2
ITF Tournaments
16.03.17	Bernabe Zapata Miralles - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:1

Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Bernabe Zapata Miralles: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide