Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Kitzbuhel, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 July 2026, Tuesday


	Jan-Lennard Struff		Alexander Shevchenko

	1	2
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.70	2.10
	1.65	2.15	Watch
	1.69	2.28
	1.64	2.2	Watch
	1.65	2.2	Watch
	1.62	2.33	Watch
	1.6	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.53)	2.21 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jan-Lennard Struff
57.2%

Alexander Shevchenko
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.4%

40.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jan-Lennard Struff has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Alexander Shevchenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jan-Lennard Struff than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Shevchenko than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.2%	0%	18.7%

Jan Lennard Struff - Alexander Shevchenko Predictions

Users Predictions: Jan-Lennard Struff will win (13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.12% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Struff is ranked ATP: 41. Shevchenko is ranked ATP: 100.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Struff may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Struff won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Alexander Shevchenko - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 37.97%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jan-Lennard Struff
ATP Wimbledon
07.07.26	Jannik Sinner - Jan-Lennard Struff	3:0 ✺
05.07.26	Hubert Hurkacz - Jan-Lennard Struff	Hurkacz H. Retired ✺
03.07.26	Jan-Lennard Struff - Daniil Medvedev	3:0 ✺
02.07.26	Brandon Nakashima - Jan-Lennard Struff	2:3 ✺
29.06.26	Jan-Lennard Struff - Sebastian Baez	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.5 L?WWW
- Alexander Shevchenko
ATP Gstaad
18.07.26	Alexander Shevchenko - Stefanos Tsitsipas	1:2 ✺
17.07.26	Quentin Halys - Alexander Shevchenko	0:2 ✺
17.07.26	Alexander Shevchenko - Dominic Stephan Stricker	2:0 ✺
14.07.26	Alexandre Muller - Alexander Shevchenko	1:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
29.06.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Alexander Shevchenko	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Metz
04.11.24	Alexander Shevchenko - Jan-Lennard Struff	1:2
ATP Australian Open
10.01.23	Jan-Lennard Struff - Alexander Shevchenko	2:0

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