Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Santiago (Chile), clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 28 February 2025, Friday


	Camilo Ugo Carabelli		Federico Coria

	1	2
	1.67	2.2	Watch
			Watch
	1.67	2.16	Watch
	1.8	2.12
	1.79	2.02	Watch
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.67	2.02	Watch
	1.67	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.61)	2.13 ↓ (2.33)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
55.5%

Federico Coria
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.1%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.9%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Camilo Ugo Carabelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Federico Coria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Camilo Ugo Carabelli than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Camilo Ugo Carabelli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Federico Coria than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Federico Coria, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.7%	0%	35.3%

Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Federico Coria Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Ugo Carabelli will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). Coria will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ugo Carabelli: 42% – 87.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ugo Carabelli is ranked ATP: 69. Coria is ranked ATP: 136.

Ugo Carabelli is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Coria is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Coria could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Ugo Carabelli will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Ugo Carabelli won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:2 (average 1.5:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Camilo Ugo Carabelli - the odds 1.61 are the expected chance of winning is 59.14%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Camilo Ugo Carabelli
ATP Santiago
27.02.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Thiago Monteiro	2:1 ✺
25.02.25	Nicolas Jarry - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	1:2 ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
22.02.25	Sebastian Baez - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:1 ✺
21.02.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Jaime Faria	2:0 ✺
20.02.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Damir Dzumhur	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WWLWW
- Federico Coria
ATP Santiago
27.02.25	Federico Coria - Alejandro Tabilo	2:1 ✺
26.02.25	Federico Coria - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:0 ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
15.02.25	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Federico Coria	2:1 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
13.02.25	Joao Fonseca - Federico Coria	2:1 ✺
12.02.25	Hugo Gaston - Federico Coria	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
04.02.24	Federico Coria - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	0:2
13.11.23	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Federico Coria	2:0
ATP US Open
22.08.23	Federico Coria - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:0
ATP Challenger
24.09.19	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Federico Coria	2:0

Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Federico Coria: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide