Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Wimbledon (United Kingdom) - Qualification, grass - Quarter-finals

Date: 24 June 2024, Monday

Location: Community Sports Centre Roehampton (London)


	Camilo Ugo Carabelli		Joris De Loore

	1	2
	3.5	1.29
	3.3	1.3
	3.4	1.28	Watch
	3.6	1.29
	3.6	1.3
	3.4	1.3
	3.44	1.3	Watch
	3.35	1.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.45 ↑ (2.89)	1.29 ↓ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
27.3%

Joris De Loore
72.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

67.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

68%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Camilo Ugo Carabelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Camilo Ugo Carabelli's form might have worsened.

Joris De Loore has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Joris De Loore's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Camilo Ugo Carabelli than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joris De Loore than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	0%	90.9%

Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Joris De Loore Predictions

Users Predictions: Joris De Loore will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ugo Carabelli is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches De Loore is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

De Loore could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match De Loore is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Camilo Ugo Carabelli
ATP Challenger
22.06.24	Maks Kasnikowski - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:1 ✺
21.06.24	Genaro Alberto Olivieri - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	0:2 ✺
20.06.24	Gastao Elias - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	1:2 ✺
19.06.24	Daniel Dutra da Silva - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	0:2 ✺
18.06.24	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWWWW
- Joris De Loore
ATP Challenger
16.06.24	Joris De Loore - Beibit Zhukayev	0:2 ✺
15.06.24	Damir Dzumhur - Joris De Loore	1:2 ✺
05.06.24	Joris De Loore - Pedro Cachin	0:2 ✺
04.06.24	Martin Krumich - Joris De Loore	0:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
22.05.24	Zizou Bergs - Joris De Loore	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWLWL

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