Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Poznan (Poland), clay - Final

Date: 22 June 2024, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	Polsat Sport 3


	Maks Kasnikowski		Camilo Ugo Carabelli

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.75	1.95
	1.8	1.9	Watch
	1.8	2.08
	1.81	2.08
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.81	1.93	Watch
	1.85	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (2.08)	1.95 ↑ (1.65)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maks Kasnikowski
51.8%

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
48.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

55.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

57.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maks Kasnikowski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maks Kasnikowski's performance.

Camilo Ugo Carabelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Camilo Ugo Carabelli might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maks Kasnikowski than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maks Kasnikowski that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Camilo Ugo Carabelli than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Camilo Ugo Carabelli could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	0%	18.2%

Maks Kasnikowski - Camilo Ugo Carabelli Predictions

Users Predictions: Maks Kasnikowski will win (17 of 21 users predict this - 80.95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.15% – 97.75%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Now both players are in good shape.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Kasnikowski won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maks Kasnikowski
ATP Challenger
21.06.24	Maks Kasnikowski - Kamil Majchrzak	2:1 ✺
20.06.24	Maks Kasnikowski - Dalibor Svrcina	2:0 ✺
19.06.24	Maks Kasnikowski - Giovanni Fonio	2:0 ✺
17.06.24	Albert Ramos-Vinolas - Maks Kasnikowski	0:2 ✺
14.06.24	Sumit Nagal - Maks Kasnikowski	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWWWL
- Camilo Ugo Carabelli
ATP Challenger
21.06.24	Genaro Alberto Olivieri - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	0:2 ✺
20.06.24	Gastao Elias - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	1:2 ✺
19.06.24	Daniel Dutra da Silva - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	0:2 ✺
18.06.24	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	0:2 ✺
11.06.24	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Carlos Taberner	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
31.05.22	Maks Kasnikowski - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	1:2
25.08.21	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Maks Kasnikowski	2:0

Maks Kasnikowski - Camilo Ugo Carabelli: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide