Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Poznan (Poland), clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 20 June 2024, Thursday

Referee: Welte J. (Sui)


	Gastao Elias		Camilo Ugo Carabelli

	1	2
			Watch
	2.65	1.42
	2.75	1.39	Watch
	2.9	1.44
	2.9	1.44
	2.91	1.37	Watch
	2.75	1.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↓ (2.89)	1.41 ↑ (1.39)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gastao Elias
33.4%

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
66.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

67.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

68.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gastao Elias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Camilo Ugo Carabelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gastao Elias than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Camilo Ugo Carabelli than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Gastao Elias - Camilo Ugo Carabelli Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Elias is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Ugo Carabelli is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ugo Carabelli could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Ugo Carabelli will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Elias won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gastao Elias
ATP Challenger
20.06.24	Vitaliy Sachko - Gastao Elias	1:2 ✺
18.06.24	Gastao Elias - Daniel Michalski	2:1 ✺
17.06.24	Gastao Elias - Lorenzo Carboni	2:0 ✺
16.06.24	Gastao Elias - Alexander Blus	2:0 ✺
09.06.24	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Gastao Elias	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWWWL
- Camilo Ugo Carabelli
ATP Challenger
19.06.24	Daniel Dutra da Silva - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	0:2 ✺
18.06.24	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	0:2 ✺
11.06.24	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Carlos Taberner	0:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
21.05.24	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Bernabe Zapata Miralles	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.05.24	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Luciano Darderi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
28.05.21	Gastao Elias - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:1
02.10.18	Gastao Elias - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	0:2

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