Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Brisbane, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Brisbane 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Camilo Ugo Carabelli		Learner Tien

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Camilo Ugo Carabelli
18.4%

Learner Tien
81.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

16%

84%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Camilo Ugo Carabelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Learner Tien has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Ugo Carabelli is ranked ATP: 49. Tien is ranked ATP: 28.

Tien is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Ugo Carabelli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Tien is the obvious favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ugo Carabelli won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Camilo Ugo Carabelli
ATP Paris
29.10.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Alexander Zverev	1:2 ✺
28.10.25	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	0:2 ✺
ATP Vienna
21.10.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Filip Misolic	0:2 ✺
ATP Stockholm
15.10.25	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	Ugo Carabelli C. retired ✺
ATP Shanghai
04.10.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Alex De Minaur	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LWL?L
- Learner Tien
ATP Next Gen Finals
21.12.25	Learner Tien - Alexander Blockx	3:0 ✺
20.12.25	Learner Tien - Nishesh Basavareddy	3:0 ✺
19.12.25	Learner Tien - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	3:1 ✺
18.12.25	Learner Tien - Martin Landaluce	3:1 ✺
17.12.25	Learner Tien - Rafael Jodar	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWWWL

ATP Australian Open
13.01.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Learner Tien	2:3

Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Learner Tien