Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Houston, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 2 April 2026, Thursday


	Learner Tien		Nishesh Basavareddy

	1	2
	1.25	4	Watch
			Watch
	1.22	3.7	Watch
	1.28	4.02
	1.25	3.82	Watch
	1.29	3.6	Watch
	1.26	4.01	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.36)	3.86 ↑ (2.89)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Learner Tien
75.4%

Nishesh Basavareddy
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.7%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Learner Tien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Learner Tien's performance.

Nishesh Basavareddy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nishesh Basavareddy might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Learner Tien than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Learner Tien that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nishesh Basavareddy than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nishesh Basavareddy could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.2%	0%	18.7%

Learner Tien - Nishesh Basavareddy Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tien (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Learner Tien will win (13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.12% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Tien is ranked ATP: 22. Basavareddy is ranked ATP: 193.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Basavareddy may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Tien is the team to beat.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Tien won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:1. (average 2.5:0.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Learner Tien - the odds 1.36 are the expected chance of winning is 67.96%, but this team recently wins 82% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Learner Tien
ATP Miami
21.03.26	Kamil Majchrzak - Learner Tien	2:1 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
12.03.26	Learner Tien - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
10.03.26	Learner Tien - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:1 ✺
08.03.26	Ben Shelton - Learner Tien	1:2 ✺
06.03.26	Adam Walton - Learner Tien	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLWWW
- Nishesh Basavareddy
ATP Houston
31.03.26	Nishesh Basavareddy - Liam Draxl	2:1 ✺
ATP Miami
16.03.26	Nishesh Basavareddy - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
24.02.26	Nishesh Basavareddy - Maxim Mrva	Canceled ✺
20.02.26	Moise Kouame - Nishesh Basavareddy	2:0 ✺
18.02.26	Nishesh Basavareddy - Hugo Gaston	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WL?LW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Next Gen Finals
20.12.25	Learner Tien - Nishesh Basavareddy	3:0
ATP Wimbledon
30.06.25	Learner Tien - Nishesh Basavareddy	3:0
ATP Challenger
09.11.24	Nishesh Basavareddy - Learner Tien	0:2
07.07.24	Nishesh Basavareddy - Learner Tien	1:2

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