Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	02:55	ESPN
Belgium	06:55	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia And Herzegovina	06:55	HBO Max
Brazil	02:55	ESPN
Bulgaria	07:55	HBO Max
Canada	00:55	RDS App
Colombia	00:55	ESPN
Croatia	06:55	HBO Max
Czech Republic	06:55	HBO Max
Denmark	06:55	HBO Max
Finland	07:55	HBO Max
France	06:55	HBO Max
Hungary	06:55	HBO Max
Mexico	23:55	ESPN
Moldova	07:55	HBO Max
Montenegro	06:55	HBO Max
Netherlands	06:55	HBO Max
North Macedonia	06:55	HBO Max
Norway	06:55	HBO Max
Peru	00:55	ESPN
Poland	06:55	HBO Max
Romania	07:55	HBO Max
Serbia	06:55	HBO Max
Slovenia	06:55	HBO Max
Spain	06:55	HBO Max
Sweden	06:55	HBO Max
United Kingdom	05:55	Discovery+
Usa	00:55	ESPN USA
Venezuela	01:55	ESPN


	Camilo Ugo Carabelli		Marton Fucsovics

	1	2
	4.5	1.2	Watch
	4.4	1.22	Watch
	4.36	1.21	Watch
	4.2	1.22	Watch
	4.43	1.22	Watch
	4.5	1.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.4 ↓ (5.33)	1.21 ↑ (1.15)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
21.6%

Marton Fucsovics
78.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

17.7%

82.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Camilo Ugo Carabelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Marton Fucsovics has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Marton Fucsovics Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Ugo Carabelli will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Fucsovics will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ugo Carabelli: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +2.5 Sets - Ugo Carabelli (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 35.5 Games - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Camilo Ugo Carabelli will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Ugo Carabelli (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Fucsovics (votes: 1 - 12.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Ugo Carabelli is ranked ATP: 47. Fucsovics is ranked ATP: 55.

Fucsovics may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Fucsovics is seen as the favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Camilo Ugo Carabelli
ATP Auckland
12.01.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:0 ✺
ATP Brisbane
04.01.26	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Learner Tien	0:2 ✺
ATP Paris
29.10.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Alexander Zverev	1:2 ✺
28.10.25	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	0:2 ✺
ATP Vienna
21.10.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Filip Misolic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LLLWL
- Marton Fucsovics
ATP Adelaide
13.01.26	Marton Fucsovics - Alexander Shevchenko	0:2 ✺
13.01.26	Ethan Quinn - Marton Fucsovics	0:2 ✺
ATP Brisbane
05.01.26	Daniil Medvedev - Marton Fucsovics	2:0 ✺
ATP Vienna
18.10.25	Marton Fucsovics - Tristan Schoolkate	Canceled ✺
ATP Stockholm
16.10.25	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Marton Fucsovics	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LWL?L

Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Marton Fucsovics

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Who will win by Users?

Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Marton Fucsovics Predictions

Preview

Form

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