Match Info

Date: 10 January 2022, Monday


	Camilo Ugo Carabelli		Tomas Machac

	1	2
	5	1.16	Watch
	4.25	1.2	Watch
	4.5	1.2
	4.5	1.17
	4.88	1.19
	4.33	1.2
	5.1	1.17	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.65 ↑ (3.5)	1.18 ↓ (1.31)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
20.3%

Tomas Machac
79.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.2%

72.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6%

72.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Camilo Ugo Carabelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Camilo Ugo Carabelli's form might have worsened.

Tomas Machac has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tomas Machac's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Camilo Ugo Carabelli than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Camilo Ugo Carabelli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tomas Machac than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tomas Machac, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Tomas Machac Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Ugo Carabelli is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Machac is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Machac could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Machac is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Camilo Ugo Carabelli
ATP Challenger
04.01.22	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Jason Jung	0:2 ✺
03.01.22	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Yasutaka Uchiyama	2:0 ✺
17.11.21	Nicolas Jarry - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:0 ✺
15.11.21	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Thiago Seyboth Wild	Seyboth Wild T. retired ✺
12.11.21	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Jaume Munar	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWL?L
- Tomas Machac
ATP Challenger
08.01.22	Tomas Machac - Bjorn Fratangelo	2:0 ✺
07.01.22	Jesper De Jong - Tomas Machac	0:2 ✺
06.01.22	Tomas Machac - Mikhail Kukushkin	2:1 ✺
05.01.22	Tomas Machac - Akira Santillan	2:0 ✺
04.01.22	Tomas Machac - Harold Mayot	Machac T. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWWW?

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