Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: French Open, clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 26 May 2025, Monday

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Croatia	Max
Czech-republic	Max
Denmark	Max
Finland	Max
France	France TV Rolan Garros, Max
Hungary	Max
Norway	MAX
Poland	Max
Romania	Max
Serbia	Max
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Usa	Max


	Camilo Ugo Carabelli		Jaume Munar

	1	2
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.3	1.6
	2.36	1.6
	2.38	1.64
	2.26	1.64	Watch
	2.3	1.62
	2.33	1.61	Watch
	2.36	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 (2.33)	1.61 ↑ (1.55)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
40.8%

Jaume Munar
59.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

60.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

61.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Camilo Ugo Carabelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Jaume Munar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Camilo Ugo Carabelli than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jaume Munar than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.3%	0%	41.7%

Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Jaume Munar Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Ugo Carabelli will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Munar will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ugo Carabelli: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Ugo Carabelli (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Munar (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 38 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +3.5 Games - Ugo Carabelli (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Ugo Carabelli (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Munar (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Ugo Carabelli is ranked ATP: 52. Munar is ranked ATP: 58.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Munar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ugo Carabelli won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Camilo Ugo Carabelli
ATP Hamburg
21.05.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	0:2 ✺
20.05.25	Sebastian Baez - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.05.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Bu Yunchaokete	0:2 ✺
16.05.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Chun Hsin Tseng	2:1 ✺
15.05.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Luca Nardi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LWLWW
- Jaume Munar
ATP Geneva
19.05.25	Jaume Munar - Quentin Halys	1:2 ✺
ATP Roma
14.05.25	Jaume Munar - Casper Ruud	0:2 ✺
12.05.25	Jaume Munar - Sebastian Korda	2:0 ✺
10.05.25	Ben Shelton - Jaume Munar	0:2 ✺
08.05.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Jaume Munar	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Buenos Aires
10.02.24	Jaume Munar - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	0:2
ATP Challenger
12.11.21	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Jaume Munar	0:2

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