Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Santiago (Chile), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 25 February 2025, Tuesday


	Nicolas Jarry		Camilo Ugo Carabelli

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
			Watch
	1.45	2.6	Watch
	1.47	2.86
	1.46	2.7	Watch
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.46	2.78	Watch
	1.45	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.44)	2.72 ↓ (2.75)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nicolas Jarry
65.2%

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.6%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.2%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolas Jarry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Camilo Ugo Carabelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Jarry than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Camilo Ugo Carabelli than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Nicolas Jarry - Camilo Ugo Carabelli Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Jarry will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Ugo Carabelli will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Jarry is ranked ATP: 47. Ugo Carabelli is ranked ATP: 91.

Jarry is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Ugo Carabelli is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ugo Carabelli could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Jarry will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Jarry won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:3 (average 1.6:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolas Jarry
ATP Rio de Janeiro
19.02.25	Francisco Comesana - Nicolas Jarry	2:1 ✺
17.02.25	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Nicolas Jarry	1:2 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
12.02.25	Diego Sebastian Schwartzman - Nicolas Jarry	2:1 ✺
ATP Australian Open
12.01.25	Jannik Sinner - Nicolas Jarry	3:0 ✺
ATP Brisbane
02.01.25	Nicolas Jarry - Jiri Lehecka	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LWLLL
- Camilo Ugo Carabelli
ATP Rio de Janeiro
22.02.25	Sebastian Baez - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:1 ✺
21.02.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Jaime Faria	2:0 ✺
20.02.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Damir Dzumhur	2:0 ✺
18.02.25	Pedro Martinez Portero - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	1:2 ✺
16.02.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Rio de Janeiro
18.02.23	Nicolas Jarry - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:0
ATP Challenger
17.11.21	Nicolas Jarry - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:0
28.08.21	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Nicolas Jarry	2:0
26.04.21	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Nicolas Jarry	0:2
16.02.21	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Nicolas Jarry	1:2

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