Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Brisbane 3, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 10 November 2025, Monday


	Carl Emil Overbeck		Philip Sekulic

	1	2
	1.91	1.8	Watch
			Watch
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	2.02	1.81
	2.07	1.69	Watch
	1.89	1.79	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.51)	1.78 ↑ (1.49)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carl Emil Overbeck
47.6%

Philip Sekulic
52.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

62.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

63.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carl Emil Overbeck has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Carl Emil Overbeck's performance.

Philip Sekulic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Philip Sekulic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carl Emil Overbeck than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Carl Emil Overbeck that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Philip Sekulic than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Philip Sekulic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Carl Emil Overbeck - Philip Sekulic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Overbeck is ranked ATP: 747. Sekulic is ranked ATP: 454.

Overbeck is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Sekulic has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Sekulic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Sekulic is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carl Emil Overbeck
ATP Challenger
09.11.25	Carl Emil Overbeck - Hayden Jones	2:0 ✺
09.11.25	Ajeet Rai - Carl Emil Overbeck	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
01.11.25	Dane Sweeny - Carl Emil Overbeck	2:1 ✺
31.10.25	Carl Emil Overbeck - Christian Langmo	2:0 ✺
30.10.25	Pavle Marinkov - Carl Emil Overbeck	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWLWW
- Philip Sekulic
ATP Challenger
04.11.25	Philip Sekulic - Rio Noguchi	0:2 ✺
03.11.25	Philip Sekulic - Hyeon Chung	2:0 ✺
28.10.25	Jurij Rodionov - Philip Sekulic	2:0 ✺
26.10.25	Philip Sekulic - Evan Zhu	2:0 ✺
26.10.25	Philip Sekulic - Ryuki Matsuda	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWLWW

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