Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Matsuyama, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 4 November 2025, Tuesday


	Philip Sekulic		Rio Noguchi

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
			Watch
	2	1.7	Watch
	2.17	1.71
	1.93	1.76	Watch
	2.01	1.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.27)	1.72 ↑ (1.56)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Philip Sekulic
46%

Rio Noguchi
54%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

59.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

58.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Philip Sekulic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Philip Sekulic's performance.

Rio Noguchi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rio Noguchi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philip Sekulic than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Noguchi than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Philip Sekulic - Rio Noguchi Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Sekulic will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Noguchi will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Noguchi (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Sekulic is ranked ATP: 465. Noguchi is ranked ATP: 246.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Sekulic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Noguchi is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sekulic won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Philip Sekulic
ATP Challenger
03.11.25	Philip Sekulic - Hyeon Chung	2:0 ✺
28.10.25	Jurij Rodionov - Philip Sekulic	2:0 ✺
26.10.25	Philip Sekulic - Evan Zhu	2:0 ✺
26.10.25	Philip Sekulic - Ryuki Matsuda	2:1 ✺
07.10.25	Philip Sekulic - Garrett Johns	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLWWL
- Rio Noguchi
ATP Challenger
03.11.25	Yusuke Takahashi - Rio Noguchi	0:2 ✺
28.10.25	Rio Noguchi - Sho Shimabukuro	0:2 ✺
27.10.25	James Duckworth - Rio Noguchi	1:2 ✺
15.10.25	Rio Noguchi - Kaichi Uchida	1:2 ✺
06.10.25	Rio Noguchi - Sergey Fomin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
16.07.25	Rio Noguchi - Philip Sekulic	2:0
01.11.22	Rio Noguchi - Philip Sekulic	2:0

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