Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sydney - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday


	Pavle Marinkov		Carl Emil Overbeck

	1	2
			Watch
	3.05	1.33	Watch
	3.13	1.35
	3.17	1.32	Watch
			Watch
	3.05	1.33	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.1 ↑ (2.97)	1.33 ↓ (1.36)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pavle Marinkov
30.1%

Carl Emil Overbeck
69.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

68.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

71%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pavle Marinkov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Carl Emil Overbeck has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pavle Marinkov than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carl Emil Overbeck than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Pavle Marinkov - Carl Emil Overbeck Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Marinkov is ranked ATP: 591. Overbeck is ranked ATP: 747.

Marinkov has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Overbeck is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Overbeck may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Overbeck is considered a favorite.

We predict that Overbeck will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Marinkov won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pavle Marinkov
ATP Challenger
15.11.25	Pavle Marinkov - Lachlan McFadzean	2:0 ✺
10.11.25	Pavle Marinkov - Dane Sweeny	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
30.10.25	Pavle Marinkov - Carl Emil Overbeck	0:2 ✺
29.10.25	Pavle Marinkov - Duje Markovina	2:1 ✺
24.10.25	Marc Polmans - Pavle Marinkov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WLLWL
- Carl Emil Overbeck
ATP Challenger
15.11.25	Alexander Klintcharov - Carl Emil Overbeck	0:2 ✺
13.11.25	Tung-Lin Wu - Carl Emil Overbeck	2:0 ✺
12.11.25	Carl Emil Overbeck - Leo Vithoontien	2:0 ✺
10.11.25	Carl Emil Overbeck - Philip Sekulic	2:0 ✺
09.11.25	Carl Emil Overbeck - Hayden Jones	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
30.10.25	Pavle Marinkov - Carl Emil Overbeck	0:2

Pavle Marinkov - Carl Emil Overbeck: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide