Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Sintra 2, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday


	Carlo Alberto Caniato		Gastao Elias

	1	2
	2.58	1.43	Watch
	2.62	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↓ (2.62)	1.44 (1.44)

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carlo Alberto Caniato
35.6%

Gastao Elias
64.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

64.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

67.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carlo Alberto Caniato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Gastao Elias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlo Alberto Caniato than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gastao Elias than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Carlo Alberto Caniato - Gastao Elias Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Caniato is ranked ATP: 446. Elias is ranked ATP: 356.

In recent matches, Caniato has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Elias is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Caniato may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Elias will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Elias will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Gastao Elias - the odds 1.44 are the expected chance of winning is 64.53%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carlo Alberto Caniato
ITF Tournaments
31.10.25	Carlo Alberto Caniato - Nick Hardt	2:0 ✺
29.10.25	Carlo Alberto Caniato - Peter Sychev	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.10.25	Nerman Fatic - Carlo Alberto Caniato	2:1 ✺
14.10.25	Dan Added - Carlo Alberto Caniato	0:2 ✺
29.09.25	Renta Tokuda - Carlo Alberto Caniato	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWLWL
- Gastao Elias
ITF Tournaments
31.10.25	Alec Deckers - Gastao Elias	0:2 ✺
30.10.25	Sebastian Fanselow - Gastao Elias	0:2 ✺
25.10.25	Gastao Elias - Alec Deckers	Elias G. retired ✺
23.10.25	Gastao Elias - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.10.25	Gastao Elias - Gabriel Schenekenberg	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WW?W?

Carlo Alberto Caniato - Gastao Elias: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide