Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Olbia, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 14 October 2025, Tuesday


	Dan Added		Carlo Alberto Caniato

	1	2
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.38	2.8	Watch
	1.46	2.79
	1.38	2.86	Watch
	1.43	2.71	Watch
	1.44	2.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.45)	2.79 ↑ (2.61)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dan Added
66.4%

Carlo Alberto Caniato
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.4%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.2%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dan Added has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Carlo Alberto Caniato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dan Added than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlo Alberto Caniato than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Dan Added - Carlo Alberto Caniato Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Added will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Caniato will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 21 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -3.5 Games - Added (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Added (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Added is ranked ATP: 212. Caniato is ranked ATP: 471.

Added has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Caniato is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Caniato may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Added will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dan Added
ATP Challenger
08.10.25	Dan Added - Jordan Thompson	0:2 ✺
21.09.25	Dan Added - Moez Echargui	0:2 ✺
20.09.25	Stanislas Wawrinka - Dan Added	Added D. walkover ✺
19.09.25	Tom Paris - Dan Added	0:2 ✺
17.09.25	Dan Added - Harold Mayot	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LL?WW
- Carlo Alberto Caniato
ATP Challenger
29.09.25	Renta Tokuda - Carlo Alberto Caniato	2:0 ✺
28.09.25	Keegan Smith - Carlo Alberto Caniato	0:2 ✺
21.09.25	Carlo Alberto Caniato - Strong Kirchheimer	0:2 ✺
14.09.25	Carlo Alberto Caniato - Preston Stearns	1:2 ✺
04.09.25	Carlo Alberto Caniato - Federico Bondioli	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LWLLL

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