Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Olbia, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 16 October 2025, Thursday


	Nerman Fatic		Carlo Alberto Caniato

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
			Watch
	1.51	2.4	Watch
	1.64	2.29
	1.60	2.17	Watch
	1.69	2.11	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.44)	2.21 ↓ (2.62)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nerman Fatic
57.7%

Carlo Alberto Caniato
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.2%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nerman Fatic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nerman Fatic's form might have worsened.

Carlo Alberto Caniato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Carlo Alberto Caniato's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nerman Fatic than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nerman Fatic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlo Alberto Caniato than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Carlo Alberto Caniato, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Nerman Fatic - Carlo Alberto Caniato Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Fatic (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Caniato (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Fatic is ranked ATP: 210. Caniato is ranked ATP: 466.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Caniato may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Fatic might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nerman Fatic
ATP Challenger
14.10.25	Roberto Carballes Baena - Nerman Fatic	0:2 ✺
07.10.25	Marco Trungelliti - Nerman Fatic	2:1 ✺
07.10.25	Andrea Pellegrino - Nerman Fatic	Canceled ✺
ITF Tournaments
28.09.25	Nerman Fatic - Dusan Obradovic	2:0 ✺
27.09.25	Nerman Fatic - Andrey Chepelev	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WL?WW
- Carlo Alberto Caniato
ATP Challenger
14.10.25	Dan Added - Carlo Alberto Caniato	0:2 ✺
29.09.25	Renta Tokuda - Carlo Alberto Caniato	2:0 ✺
28.09.25	Keegan Smith - Carlo Alberto Caniato	0:2 ✺
21.09.25	Carlo Alberto Caniato - Strong Kirchheimer	0:2 ✺
14.09.25	Carlo Alberto Caniato - Preston Stearns	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLWLL

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