Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Trieste - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 6 July 2025, Sunday


	Carlo Alberto Caniato		Matej Dodig

	1	2
			Watch
	2.4	1.48
	2.47	1.48	Watch
	2.56	1.5
			Watch
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.53	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↓ (2.54)	1.49 (1.49)

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carlo Alberto Caniato
37.4%

Matej Dodig
62.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37%

63%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

63.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carlo Alberto Caniato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Matej Dodig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlo Alberto Caniato than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matej Dodig than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Carlo Alberto Caniato - Matej Dodig Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Caniato will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Dodig will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

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Preview

Caniato is ranked ATP: 693. Dodig is ranked ATP: 368.

Caniato is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Dodig has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Caniato may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Dodig will hold a modest advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carlo Alberto Caniato
ATP Challenger
30.06.25	Carlo Alberto Caniato - Aristotelis Thanos	1:2 ✺
29.06.25	Bernabe Zapata Miralles - Carlo Alberto Caniato	Zapata Miralles B. retired ✺
ITF Tournaments
26.06.25	Carlo Alberto Caniato - Kasra Rahmani	0:2 ✺
24.06.25	Samuel Vincent Ruggeri - Carlo Alberto Caniato	0:2 ✺
22.06.25	Manuel Mazza - Carlo Alberto Caniato	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 L?LWL
- Matej Dodig
ATP Challenger
30.06.25	Matej Dodig - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
17.06.25	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Matej Dodig	2:1 ✺
13.06.25	Christian Garin - Matej Dodig	2:0 ✺
12.06.25	Toby Alex Kodat - Matej Dodig	0:2 ✺
11.06.25	Matej Dodig - Jaime Faria	Faria J. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLLW?

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