Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Royan, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 June 2025, Tuesday


	Daniel Merida Aguilar		Matej Dodig

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.48	2.5	Watch
			Watch
	1.54	2.52
			Watch
	1.44	2.62	Watch
	1.49	2.51	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↑ (1.41)	2.56 ↓ (2.75)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Merida Aguilar
63.4%

Matej Dodig
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.2%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.9%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Merida Aguilar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Matej Dodig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Merida Aguilar than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Daniel Merida Aguilar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matej Dodig than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Matej Dodig, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Daniel Merida Aguilar - Matej Dodig Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Merida Aguilar (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Daniel Merida Aguilar will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Merida Aguilar is ranked ATP: 292. Dodig is ranked ATP: 376.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

Merida Aguilar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Merida Aguilar is considered a favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Merida Aguilar
ATP Challenger
15.06.25	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Marco Trungelliti	1:2 ✺
14.06.25	Gauthier Onclin - Daniel Merida Aguilar	0:2 ✺
13.06.25	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Luca Van Assche	2:0 ✺
11.06.25	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Henri Squire	2:1 ✺
09.06.25	Kyrian Jacquet - Daniel Merida Aguilar	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 LWWWW
- Matej Dodig
ATP Challenger
13.06.25	Christian Garin - Matej Dodig	2:0 ✺
12.06.25	Toby Alex Kodat - Matej Dodig	0:2 ✺
11.06.25	Matej Dodig - Jaime Faria	Faria J. retired ✺
10.06.25	Mateus Alves - Matej Dodig	0:2 ✺
09.06.25	Daniel Cukierman - Matej Dodig	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LW?WW

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