Match Info

Date: 20 February 2022, Sunday


	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia		Diego Sebastian Schwartzman

	1	2
	1.36	3.2	Watch
	1.35	3.2
	1.32	3.4	Watch
	1.32	3.15
	1.36	3.46
	1.33	3.3	Watch
	1.37	3.32	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.49)	3.29 ↑ (2.76)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
71%

Diego Sebastian Schwartzman
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.4%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Carlos Alcaraz Garfia's performance.

Diego Sebastian Schwartzman has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Diego Sebastian Schwartzman might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlos Alcaraz Garfia than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diego Sebastian Schwartzman than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.6%	0%	22.4%

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Diego Sebastian Schwartzman Predictions

Users Predictions: 49 users predict this event. Alcaraz Garfia will win (votes: 38 - 77.6%). Schwartzman will win (votes: 11 - 22.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alcaraz Garfia: 65.9% – 89.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Now both players are in good shape.

Schwartzman could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Alcaraz Garfia is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
ATP Rio de Janeiro
19.02.22	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Fabio Fognini	2:0 ✺
19.02.22	Matteo Berrettini - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	1:2 ✺
18.02.22	Federico Delbonis - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2 ✺
14.02.22	Jaume Munar - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	1:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
20.01.22	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Matteo Berrettini	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWWWL
- Diego Sebastian Schwartzman
ATP Rio de Janeiro
19.02.22	Diego Sebastian Schwartzman - Francisco Cerundolo	2:0 ✺
19.02.22	Pablo Andujar-Alba - Diego Sebastian Schwartzman	1:2 ✺
16.02.22	Pedro Martinez Portero - Diego Sebastian Schwartzman	0:2 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
13.02.22	Casper Ruud - Diego Sebastian Schwartzman	2:1 ✺
12.02.22	Lorenzo Sonego - Diego Sebastian Schwartzman	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWLW

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