Match Info

Date: 15 August 2021, Sunday


	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia		Ilya Ivashka

	1	2
			Watch
	1.85	1.9
			Watch
	1.83	1.88
	1.88	1.93
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.84	1.96	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (1.88)	1.92 ↑ (1.87)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
51%

Ilya Ivashka
49%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

50.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

48%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Ilya Ivashka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlos Alcaraz Garfia than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilya Ivashka than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.4%	0%	82.6%

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Ilya Ivashka Predictions

Users Predictions: Ilya Ivashka will win (19 of 23 users predict this - 82.61%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.12% – 98.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Alcaraz Garfia is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Ivashka is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Alcaraz Garfia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
ATP Cincinnati
14.08.21	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Thiago Monteiro	2:0 ✺
ATP Kitzbuhel
27.07.21	Alexander Erler - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	2:1 ✺
26.07.21	Jiri Vesely - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	Canceled ✺
ATP Umag
25.07.21	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Richard Gasquet	2:0 ✺
24.07.21	Albert Ramos-Vinolas - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WL?WW
- Ilya Ivashka
ATP Cincinnati
14.08.21	Mitchell Krueger - Ilya Ivashka	1:2 ✺
ATP Washington
05.08.21	Ilya Ivashka - Mackenzie McDonald	0:2 ✺
04.08.21	Grigor Dimitrov - Ilya Ivashka	0:2 ✺
02.08.21	Egor Gerasimov - Ilya Ivashka	0:2 ✺
ATP Olympic Games
27.07.21	Ilya Ivashka - Kei Nishikori	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLWWL

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