Match Info

Date: 16 October 2020, Friday


	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia		Juan Pablo Ficovich

	1	2
	1.44	2.62	Watch
	1.45	2.55
	1.41	2.65
	1.44	2.81
	1.44	2.62	Watch
	1.43	2.75	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↑ (1.32)	2.67 ↓ (3.17)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
65%

Juan Pablo Ficovich
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.5%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.2%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Carlos Alcaraz Garfia's form might have worsened.

Juan Pablo Ficovich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Juan Pablo Ficovich's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlos Alcaraz Garfia than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Pablo Ficovich than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Juan Pablo Ficovich Predictions

Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Alcaraz Garfia will win (votes: 25 - 62.5%). Ficovich will win (votes: 15 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alcaraz Garfia: 47.5% – 77.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Alcaraz Garfia in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Ficovich is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Alcaraz Garfia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Alcaraz Garfia will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Alcaraz Garfia to win the game is with odds 1.49.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Alcaraz Garfia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
ATP Challenger
15.10.20	Daniel Elahi Galan - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	1:2 ✺
13.10.20	Ramkumar Ramanathan - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2 ✺
11.10.20	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Damir Dzumhur	2:1 ✺
11.10.20	Andrea Collarini - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2 ✺
09.10.20	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Filip Horansky	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWWWW
- Juan Pablo Ficovich
ATP Challenger
15.10.20	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Juan Pablo Ficovich	0:2 ✺
13.10.20	Juan Pablo Ficovich - Carlos Taberner	2:0 ✺
09.10.20	Juan Pablo Ficovich - Alexei Popyrin	1:2 ✺
08.10.20	Juan Pablo Ficovich - Mitchell Krueger	2:0 ✺
06.10.20	Juan Pablo Ficovich - Danilo Petrovic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
02.09.20	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Juan Pablo Ficovich	2:1

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