Match Info

Date: 15 October 2020, Thursday


	Daniel Elahi Galan		Carlos Alcaraz Garfia

	1	2
	2.2	1.61	Watch
	2.15	1.62
	2.05	1.72
	2.15	1.6
	2.28	1.64
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.22	1.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.3)	1.63 ↑ (1.62)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Elahi Galan
42.9%

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
57.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

59.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Elahi Galan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Elahi Galan than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlos Alcaraz Garfia than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Daniel Elahi Galan - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia Predictions

Users Predictions: Carlos Alcaraz Garfia will win (30 of 36 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.15% – 95.51%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

In the last matches we may see a scene of defeats of two players.

Galan could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Galan will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Elahi Galan
ATP Challenger
13.10.20	Daniel Elahi Galan - Andrea Collarini	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
03.10.20	Novak Djokovic - Daniel Elahi Galan	3:0 ✺
01.10.20	Daniel Elahi Galan - Tennys Sandgren	3:0 ✺
28.09.20	Daniel Elahi Galan - Cameron Norrie	3:2 ✺
25.09.20	Daniel Elahi Galan - Henri Laaksonen	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WLWWL
- Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
ATP Challenger
13.10.20	Ramkumar Ramanathan - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2 ✺
11.10.20	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Damir Dzumhur	2:1 ✺
11.10.20	Andrea Collarini - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2 ✺
09.10.20	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Filip Horansky	2:1 ✺
08.10.20	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Mario Vilella Martinez	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWWWW

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