Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: London, grass - Semi-finals

Date: 21 June 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Brazil	ESPN 3
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	Eurosport 2
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top Event
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 7
Hungary	Match 4
Poland	Polsat Sport Premium 2
Portugal	Sport TV3
Romania	Digi Sport 4, Prima Sport 2
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Tennis
Ukraine	Setanta Sports Premium


	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia		Roberto Bautista-Agut

	1	2
	1.08	8	Watch
	1.1	6.5	Watch
			Watch
	1.11	7.91
			Watch
	1.1	7	Watch
	1.11	6.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.1 (1.1)	7.22 ↓ (7.49)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
86.8%

Roberto Bautista-Agut
13.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

87.2%

12.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Roberto Bautista-Agut has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.5%	0%	61.5%

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Roberto Bautista Agut Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Alcaraz Garfia will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Bautista-Agut will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bautista-Agut: 35% – 88%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Alcaraz Garfia (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Bautista-Agut (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -5.5 Games - Alcaraz Garfia (2.53) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 20.5 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Bautista-Agut (2.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Alcaraz Garfia (votes: 3 - 30%). Bautista-Agut (votes: 7 - 70%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Alcaraz Garfia is ranked ATP: 2. Bautista-Agut is ranked ATP: 51.

Alcaraz Garfia has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Bautista-Agut's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Alcaraz Garfia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Alcaraz Garfia is the obvious favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Alcaraz Garfia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
ATP London
20.06.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Arthur Rinderknech	2:0 ✺
19.06.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Jaume Munar	2:1 ✺
17.06.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Adam Walton	2:0 ✺
17.06.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	Canceled ✺
ATP Roland Garros
08.06.25	Jannik Sinner - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWW?W
- Roberto Bautista-Agut
ATP London
20.06.25	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Roberto Bautista-Agut	1:2 ✺
18.06.25	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Jakub Mensik	2:1 ✺
16.06.25	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Nuno Borges	2:1 ✺
ATP Hertogenbosch
11.06.25	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Hubert Hurkacz	0:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
26.05.25	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Barcelona
20.04.23	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Roberto Bautista-Agut	2:0
ATP Indian Wells
14.03.22	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Roberto Bautista-Agut	2:0

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