Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Tokyo, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 5 October 2026, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Premier Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 5
Poland	Polsat Sport 2
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 3, Prima Sport PPV 1
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Tennis
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis


	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia		Jaume Munar

	1	2
	1.10	7.00	Watch
	1.10	6.50
	1.10	7.00	Watch
	1.12	6.8	Watch
	1.11	6.95
	1.10	7.03	Watch
	1.09	6.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.1 ↑ (1.08)	6.86 ↓ (7.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 19.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
86.2%

Jaume Munar
13.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

87.7%

12.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Jaume Munar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Jaume Munar Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 18.5 Games - over (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Alcaraz Garfia is ranked ATP: 3., and Munar is ranked ATP: 64..

Both players arrive in flying form having triumphed in their latest fixtures.

Munar may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Alcaraz Garfia holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Alcaraz Garfia has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 6:4 (averaging 1.5:1 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - the odds 1.08 are the expected chance of winning is 87.7%, but this team recently wins 73% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
ATP Tokyo
04.10.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Denis Shapovalov	Shapovalov D. Retired ✺
02.10.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Matteo Arnaldi	2:0 ✺
01.10.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Alex Michelsen	2:1 ✺
ATP Laver Cup
27.09.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Alex De Minaur	Canceled ✺
26.09.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Taylor Harry Fritz	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 ?WW?W
- Jaume Munar
ATP Tokyo
03.10.26	Jaume Munar - Kyrian Jacquet	2:0 ✺
01.10.26	Jaume Munar - Jaime Faria	2:0 ✺
30.09.26	Taylor Harry Fritz - Jaume Munar	1:2 ✺
28.09.26	Jaume Munar - Aleksandar Kovacevic	2:0 ✺
28.09.26	Jaume Munar - Marcos Giron	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP London
19.06.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Jaume Munar	2:1
ATP Barcelona
22.04.22	Jaume Munar - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2
ATP Rio de Janeiro
14.02.22	Jaume Munar - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	1:2
ATP Marbella
10.04.21	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Jaume Munar	0:2

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