Match Info

EXHIBITION - MEN: Others matches

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Super Tennis


	Jannik Sinner		Carlos Alcaraz Garfia

	1	2
	1.74	2	Watch
	1.67	2.1
	1.67	2.21
	1.69	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.75)	2.1 ↑ (2.07)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jannik Sinner
55.3%

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
44.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7%

46.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jannik Sinner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jannik Sinner than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlos Alcaraz Garfia than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Jannik Sinner - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 10.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Jannik Sinner will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Jannik Sinner will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sinner is ranked ATP: 2. Alcaraz Garfia is ranked ATP: 1.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sinner won 4.

Sinner is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Alcaraz Garfia has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Sinner will win today's game, with odds of 1.72.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Sinner won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 28:29. (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jannik Sinner
ATP World Tour Finals
16.11.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
15.11.25	Jannik Sinner - Alex De Minaur	2:0 ✺
14.11.25	Jannik Sinner - Ben Shelton	2:0 ✺
12.11.25	Jannik Sinner - Alexander Zverev	2:0 ✺
10.11.25	Jannik Sinner - Felix Aliassime-Auger	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWWWW
- Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
Exhibition Others Matches Tennis Men
08.12.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Joao Fonseca	2:1 ✺
07.12.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Francis Tiafoe	1:2 ✺
ATP World Tour Finals
16.11.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
15.11.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Felix Aliassime-Auger	2:0 ✺
13.11.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Lorenzo Musetti	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP World Tour Finals
16.11.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Jannik Sinner	0:2
Exhibition Six Kings Slam Men
18.10.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Jannik Sinner	0:2
ATP US Open
07.09.25	Jannik Sinner - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	1:3
ATP Cincinnati
18.08.25	Jannik Sinner - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	Sinner J. retired
ATP Wimbledon
13.07.25	Jannik Sinner - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	3:1
ATP Roland Garros
08.06.25	Jannik Sinner - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	2:3
ATP Roma
18.05.25	Jannik Sinner - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2

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