Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Guayaquil, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 October 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Guayaquil 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Carlos Maria Zarate		Alan Magadan

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Carlos Maria Zarate
65.6%

Alan Magadan
34.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

61.5%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.8%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carlos Maria Zarate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Alan Magadan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlos Maria Zarate than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alan Magadan than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Zarate is ranked ATP: 340., and Magadan is ranked ATP: 501..

Both players have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Zarate could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Zarate holding a narrow advantage.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carlos Maria Zarate
ATP Challenger
23.10.26	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Carlos Maria Zarate	2:1 ✺
22.10.26	Carlos Maria Zarate - Francisco Comesana	Comesana F. Retired ✺
20.10.26	Carlos Maria Zarate - Franco Ribero	2:0 ✺
15.10.26	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Carlos Maria Zarate	2:0 ✺
13.10.26	Gonzalo Villanueva - Carlos Maria Zarate	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 L?WLW
- Alan Magadan
ATP Challenger
27.10.26	Alan Magadan - Tristan McCormick	2:0 ✺
25.10.26	Alan Magadan - Mario Andre Galarraga	2:0 ✺
19.10.26	Alan Magadan - Daniel Salazar	0:2 ✺
18.10.26	Alan Magadan - Juan Miguel Bolivar Idarraga	2:0 ✺
05.10.26	Joao Eduardo Schiessl - Alan Magadan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWLWL

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carlos Maria Zarate
ATP Challenger
29.10.26	Gonzalo Bueno - Carlos Maria Zarate	✺

Carlos Maria Zarate - Alan Magadan