Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Hagen, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 July 2025, Tuesday


	Carlos Sanchez Jover		Sumit Nagal

	1	2
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	3.1	1.33
	3	1.34	Watch
	3	1.4
	3.18	1.33	Watch
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	2.93	1.37	Watch
	3.25	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↑ (2.25)	1.35 ↓ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carlos Sanchez Jover
30.1%

Sumit Nagal
69.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

58.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

61.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carlos Sanchez Jover has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Carlos Sanchez Jover's form might have worsened.

Sumit Nagal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sumit Nagal's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlos Sanchez Jover than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carlos Sanchez Jover, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sumit Nagal than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sumit Nagal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	0%	71.4%

Carlos Sanchez Jover - Sumit Nagal Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Sanchez Jover will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Nagal will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3.5 Games - Nagal (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Nagal (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Sanchez Jover is ranked ATP: 260. Nagal is ranked ATP: 306.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Sanchez Jover may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Nagal is seen as the favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carlos Sanchez Jover
ITF Tournaments
24.07.25	Carlos Sanchez Jover - Anas Mazdrashki	1:2 ✺
22.07.25	Carlos Sanchez Jover - Oscar Jose Gutierrez	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.07.25	Carlos Sanchez Jover - Federico Bondioli	Canceled ✺
ITF Tournaments
13.07.25	Carlos Sanchez Jover - Jonas Forejtek	0:2 ✺
12.07.25	Carlos Sanchez Jover - Daniel Siniakov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LW?LW
- Sumit Nagal
ATP Challenger
26.07.25	Sumit Nagal - Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg	0:2 ✺
25.07.25	Sumit Nagal - Nicolas Kicker	2:0 ✺
24.07.25	Sumit Nagal - Max Houkes	2:0 ✺
22.07.25	Jay Clarke - Sumit Nagal	0:2 ✺
ATP Bastad
13.07.25	Sumit Nagal - Timofey Skatov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWWWL

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