Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tampere, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 22 July 2025, Tuesday


	Jay Clarke		Sumit Nagal

	1	2
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.25	1.55	Watch
	2.63	1.5
	2.47	1.52	Watch
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.51	1.49	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (1.73)	1.52 ↓ (2)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jay Clarke
38.6%

Sumit Nagal
61.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

47.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jay Clarke has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jay Clarke's form might have worsened.

Sumit Nagal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sumit Nagal's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jay Clarke than the current prediction. (+13.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jay Clarke, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sumit Nagal than the current prediction. (-13.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sumit Nagal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Jay Clarke - Sumit Nagal Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Nagal (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Sumit Nagal will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Clarke is ranked ATP: 199. Nagal is ranked ATP: 287.

Clarke has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Nagal has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Nagal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Clarke won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.3:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jay Clarke
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.25	Daniel Evans - Jay Clarke	3:0 ✺
ATP Eastbourne
21.06.25	Aleksandar Vukic - Jay Clarke	2:0 ✺
ATP London
14.06.25	Alex Bolt - Jay Clarke	2:0 ✺
14.06.25	Rinky Hijikata - Jay Clarke	Canceled ✺
ATP Challenger
09.06.25	Leandro Riedi - Jay Clarke	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLL?L
- Sumit Nagal
ATP Bastad
13.07.25	Sumit Nagal - Timofey Skatov	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.07.25	Sumit Nagal - Matej Dodig	0:2 ✺
11.07.25	Sumit Nagal - Maxim Mrva	2:1 ✺
10.07.25	Sumit Nagal - Marco Cecchinato	2:0 ✺
09.07.25	Chun Hsin Tseng - Sumit Nagal	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
17.02.23	Sumit Nagal - Jay Clarke	2:0
17.08.20	Jay Clarke - Sumit Nagal	Clarke J. retired
12.11.18	Sumit Nagal - Jay Clarke	2:0
25.11.17	Sumit Nagal - Jay Clarke	2:1

Jay Clarke - Sumit Nagal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide