Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tampere, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 24 July 2025, Thursday


	Sumit Nagal		Max Houkes

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.45	2.55	Watch
	1.41	2.7	Watch
	1.45	2.81
	1.42	2.77	Watch
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.42	2.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.45)	2.72 ↑ (2.63)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sumit Nagal
65.7%

Max Houkes
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.4%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sumit Nagal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Max Houkes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sumit Nagal than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Max Houkes than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Sumit Nagal - Max Houkes Predictions

Users Predictions: Sumit Nagal will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sumit Nagal will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Nagal is ranked ATP: 306. Houkes is ranked ATP: 288.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Houkes may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Nagal is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Nagal won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sumit Nagal
ATP Challenger
22.07.25	Jay Clarke - Sumit Nagal	0:2 ✺
ATP Bastad
13.07.25	Sumit Nagal - Timofey Skatov	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.07.25	Sumit Nagal - Matej Dodig	0:2 ✺
11.07.25	Sumit Nagal - Maxim Mrva	2:1 ✺
10.07.25	Sumit Nagal - Marco Cecchinato	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLLWW
- Max Houkes
ATP Challenger
22.07.25	Vesa Ahti - Max Houkes	0:2 ✺
16.07.25	Gauthier Onclin - Max Houkes	2:0 ✺
15.07.25	Max Houkes - Michael Geerts	2:0 ✺
09.07.25	Max Houkes - Raphael Collignon	1:2 ✺
08.07.25	Mika Petkovic - Max Houkes	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
28.04.23	Sumit Nagal - Max Houkes	2:0

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