Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Umag, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 25 July 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Denmark	TV2 Play
Poland	Polsat Sport 2, Polsat Sport 3
Portugal	Sport TV2
Sweden	TV4 Play


	Carlos Taberner		Damir Dzumhur

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	1.98	1.8	Watch
	1.95	1.75	Watch
	2.04	1.86
	2.02	1.81	Watch
	2	1.8	Watch
	1.92	1.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.3)	1.82 ↑ (1.62)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carlos Taberner
47.8%

Damir Dzumhur
52.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

62.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carlos Taberner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Carlos Taberner's performance.

Damir Dzumhur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Damir Dzumhur might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlos Taberner than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Carlos Taberner that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Damir Dzumhur than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Damir Dzumhur could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40.9%	0%	59.1%

Carlos Taberner - Damir Dzumhur Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Taberner will win (votes: 9 - 40.9%). Dzumhur will win (votes: 13 - 59.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dzumhur: 38.6% – 79.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Taberner (votes: 6 - 50%). Dzumhur (votes: 6 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 Games - Taberner (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Taberner (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Dzumhur (votes: 6 - 46.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Taberner is ranked ATP: 111. Dzumhur is ranked ATP: 61.

Taberner has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Dzumhur is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Taberner may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Dzumhur is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Dzumhur will win today's game, with odds of 1.62.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Taberner won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Carlos Taberner - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 41.31%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carlos Taberner
ATP Umag
24.07.25	Carlos Taberner - Jesper De Jong	2:0 ✺
23.07.25	Francisco Cerundolo - Carlos Taberner	1:2 ✺
21.07.25	Carlos Taberner - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	2:0 ✺
ATP Gstaad
15.07.25	Roberto Carballes Baena - Carlos Taberner	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.07.25	Carlos Taberner - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WWWLL
- Damir Dzumhur
ATP Umag
24.07.25	Damir Dzumhur - Titouan Droguet	2:1 ✺
23.07.25	Damir Dzumhur - Stanislas Wawrinka	2:0 ✺
ATP Bastad
18.07.25	Francisco Cerundolo - Damir Dzumhur	2:1 ✺
17.07.25	Hugo Gaston - Damir Dzumhur	1:2 ✺
15.07.25	Sebastian Ofner - Damir Dzumhur	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Bucharest
14.04.24	Damir Dzumhur - Carlos Taberner	Dzumhur D. retired
ATP Challenger
07.07.21	Damir Dzumhur - Carlos Taberner	2:1

Carlos Taberner - Damir Dzumhur: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide