Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Estoril, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 July 2026, Tuesday


	Hugo Gaston		Damir Dzumhur

	1	2
	1.80	2.00	Watch
	1.91	1.87	Watch
	1.93	1.87	Watch
	1.96	1.93
	1.9	1.84
	1.92	1.88
	1.93	1.87	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (2.2)	1.89 ↑ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hugo Gaston
49.8%

Damir Dzumhur
50.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

56.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

55%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hugo Gaston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hugo Gaston's performance.

Damir Dzumhur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Damir Dzumhur might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hugo Gaston than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Damir Dzumhur than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Hugo Gaston - Damir Dzumhur Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Gaston will win (votes: 7 - 50%). Dzumhur will win (votes: 7 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gaston: 23.8% – 76.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Gaston (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 Games - Gaston (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Gaston (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Gaston is ranked ATP: 107. Dzumhur is ranked ATP: 108.

Gaston has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Dzumhur is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Gaston may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

We predict that Dzumhur will win today's game, with odds of 1.79.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Gaston won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Damir Dzumhur - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 56.85%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hugo Gaston
ATP Bastad
14.07.26	Daniel Altmaier - Hugo Gaston	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.07.26	Jan Choinski - Hugo Gaston	2:1 ✺
11.07.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Hugo Gaston	1:2 ✺
10.07.26	Hugo Gaston - Marvin Moeller	2:0 ✺
09.07.26	Hugo Gaston - Mika Petkovic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLWWW
- Damir Dzumhur
ATP Umag
18.07.26	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Damir Dzumhur	2:1 ✺
17.07.26	Damir Dzumhur - Alex Molcan	2:1 ✺
16.07.26	Damir Dzumhur - Matteo Arnaldi	2:1 ✺
15.07.26	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - Damir Dzumhur	0:2 ✺
13.07.26	Damir Dzumhur - Henrique Rocha	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Bastad
17.07.25	Hugo Gaston - Damir Dzumhur	1:2

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