Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Umag, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 23 July 2025, Wednesday


	Jesper De Jong		Mariano Navone

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.45	1.53	Watch
	2.75	1.43	Watch
	2.91	1.45
	2.81	1.42	Watch
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.86	1.43	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↓ (2.75)	1.46 (1.46)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jesper De Jong
35%

Mariano Navone
65%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

65.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

68.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jesper De Jong has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Mariano Navone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jesper De Jong than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mariano Navone than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	0%	70%

Jesper De Jong - Mariano Navone Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. De Jong will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Navone will win (votes: 7 - 70%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Navone: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +4.5 Games - De Jong (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Mariano Navone will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. De Jong (votes: 1 - 25%). Navone (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

De Jong is ranked ATP: 83. Navone is ranked ATP: 76.

Now, both players are in good form.

Navone may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Navone will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Navone will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, De Jong won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jesper De Jong
ATP Umag
22.07.25	Jesper De Jong - Mili Poljicak	2:0 ✺
ATP Bastad
20.07.25	Luciano Darderi - Jesper De Jong	2:1 ✺
19.07.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Jesper De Jong	0:2 ✺
18.07.25	Jesper De Jong - Tallon Griekspoor	2:1 ✺
16.07.25	Vit Kopriva - Jesper De Jong	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WLWWW
- Mariano Navone
ATP Umag
21.07.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Mariano Navone	0:2 ✺
ATP Bastad
17.07.25	Francisco Cerundolo - Mariano Navone	2:0 ✺
16.07.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Mariano Navone	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.07.25	Mariano Navone - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2:0 ✺
11.07.25	Filip Misolic - Mariano Navone	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Barcelona
12.04.25	Mariano Navone - Jesper De Jong	Canceled

Jesper De Jong - Mariano Navone: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide