Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Oeiras 3, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 17 April 2025, Thursday


	Carlos Taberner		Shintaro Mochizuki

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.55	2.3	Watch
	1.52	2.3	Watch
	1.53	2.52
	1.54	2.42	Watch
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.56	2.33	Watch
	1.52	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.77)	2.4 ↑ (1.97)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carlos Taberner
61.1%

Shintaro Mochizuki
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carlos Taberner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Carlos Taberner's performance.

Shintaro Mochizuki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shintaro Mochizuki might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlos Taberner than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Carlos Taberner that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shintaro Mochizuki than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shintaro Mochizuki could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Carlos Taberner - Shintaro Mochizuki Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Taberner (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Carlos Taberner will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Taberner is ranked ATP: 145. Mochizuki is ranked ATP: 153.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Mochizuki could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carlos Taberner
ATP Challenger
15.04.25	Carlos Taberner - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	2:0 ✺
10.04.25	Carlos Taberner - Kamil Majchrzak	0:2 ✺
08.04.25	Carlos Taberner - Oriol Roca Batalla	2:0 ✺
04.04.25	Pol Martin Tiffon - Carlos Taberner	2:1 ✺
03.04.25	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Carlos Taberner	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLWLW
- Shintaro Mochizuki
ATP Challenger
16.04.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Thiago Seyboth Wild	2:1 ✺
25.03.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Bernard Tomic	1:2 ✺
ATP Miami
18.03.25	Francisco Comesana - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:0 ✺
17.03.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Yannick Hanfmann	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.03.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Brandon Holt	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLLWL

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