Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Oeiras 3, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 16 April 2025, Wednesday


	Shintaro Mochizuki		Thiago Seyboth Wild

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.55	1.45	Watch
	2.49	1.47	Watch
	2.73	1.47
	2.61	1.46	Watch
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	1.96	1.72	Watch
	2.49	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↑ (2.19)	1.51 ↓ (1.61)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shintaro Mochizuki
37.8%

Thiago Seyboth Wild
62.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

57.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shintaro Mochizuki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Thiago Seyboth Wild has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shintaro Mochizuki than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shintaro Mochizuki, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thiago Seyboth Wild than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Thiago Seyboth Wild, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
3.4%	0%	96.6%

Shintaro Mochizuki - Thiago Seyboth Wild Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3.5 Games - Seyboth Wild (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Thiago Seyboth Wild will win (28 of 29 users predict this - 96.55%).
Confidence interval (95%): 89.91% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Thiago Seyboth Wild will win (13 of 13 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Seyboth Wild (votes: 14 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mochizuki is ranked ATP: 150. Seyboth Wild is ranked ATP: 111.

Recent matches Mochizuki is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Seyboth Wild has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Mochizuki could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Seyboth Wild will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shintaro Mochizuki
ATP Challenger
25.03.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Bernard Tomic	1:2 ✺
ATP Miami
18.03.25	Francisco Comesana - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:0 ✺
17.03.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Yannick Hanfmann	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.03.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Brandon Holt	0:2 ✺
01.03.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - James McCabe	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLWLW
- Thiago Seyboth Wild
ATP Challenger
08.04.25	Mili Poljicak - Thiago Seyboth Wild	2:0 ✺
25.03.25	Max Hans Rehberg - Thiago Seyboth Wild	2:1 ✺
ATP Miami
19.03.25	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Quentin Halys	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.03.25	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Nicolas Mejia	1:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
07.03.25	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Stefanos Tsitsipas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

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