Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W50 Chihuahua (Mexico), hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 7 March 2025, Friday


	Carolina Alves		Jasmin Ortenzi

	1	2
			Watch
	2.11	1.7
	2.13	1.67	Watch
	2.1	1.67
	2.07	1.69	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (2.06)	1.68 (1.68)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carolina Alves
44.5%

Jasmin Ortenzi
55.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

55.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

55.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carolina Alves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Jasmin Ortenzi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carolina Alves than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jasmin Ortenzi than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Carolina Alves - Jasmin Ortenzi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Alves is ranked WTA: 285. Ortenzi is ranked WTA: 227.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Ortenzi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Alves won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:4 (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carolina Alves
ITF Tournaments
06.03.25	Carolina Alves - Diletta Cherubini	2:1 ✺
05.03.25	Carolina Alves - Ia Reyes Romero	2:0 ✺
27.02.25	Vittoria Paganetti - Carolina Alves	2:0 ✺
26.02.25	Doga Turkmen - Carolina Alves	0:2 ✺
20.02.25	Carolina Alves - Yuki Naito	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWLWL
- Jasmin Ortenzi
ITF Tournaments
06.03.25	Jessica Hinojosa Gomez - Jasmin Ortenzi	0:2 ✺
05.03.25	Maria Paulina Perez Garcia - Jasmin Ortenzi	0:2 ✺
26.02.25	Victoria Osuigwe - Jasmin Ortenzi	2:0 ✺
20.02.25	Jasmin Ortenzi - Carol Zhao	0:2 ✺
19.02.25	Akasha Urhobo - Jasmin Ortenzi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
25.01.25	Jasmin Ortenzi - Carolina Alves	2:0
19.01.25	Jasmin Ortenzi - Carolina Alves	0:2
26.04.24	Carolina Alves - Jasmin Ortenzi	1:2
14.03.24	Carolina Alves - Jasmin Ortenzi	2:0

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