Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Colina, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 November 2025, Monday


	Carolina Alves		Jessica Pieri

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.38	1.52
	2.52	1.53
	1.85	1.86	Watch
	2.45	1.49	Watch
	2.08	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (1.85)	1.61 ↓ (1.86)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carolina Alves
41.7%

Jessica Pieri
58.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

48%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carolina Alves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Carolina Alves's form might have worsened.

Jessica Pieri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jessica Pieri's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carolina Alves than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carolina Alves, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jessica Pieri than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jessica Pieri, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Carolina Alves - Jessica Pieri Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Alves will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Pieri will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Jessica Pieri will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Alves is ranked WTA: 239. Pieri is ranked WTA: 228.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Alves may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Alves won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Carolina Alves - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50.13%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carolina Alves
ATP Challenger
21.10.25	Solana Sierra - Carolina Alves	2:0 ✺
16.10.25	Carolina Alves - Sinja Kraus	0:2 ✺
14.10.25	Maria Paulina Perez Garcia - Carolina Alves	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
05.10.25	Laura Pigossi - Carolina Alves	2:1 ✺
04.10.25	Jasmin Ortenzi - Carolina Alves	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLWLW
- Jessica Pieri
ATP Challenger
06.11.25	Jessica Pieri - Oleksandra Oliynykova	Pieri J. retired ✺
04.11.25	Jessica Pieri - Maria Florencia Urrutia	2:0 ✺
28.10.25	Jessica Pieri - Alicia Herrero Linana	0:2 ✺
24.10.25	Martina Colmegna - Jessica Pieri	2:0 ✺
23.10.25	Diletta Cherubini - Jessica Pieri	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 ?WLLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
18.06.25	Jessica Pieri - Carolina Alves	2:1

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